Consoles: what will happen in the next seven years?
Marco Arment has a interesting list of things which are younger than the Xbox 360. That list includes the iPhone, iPad, App Store, Android, iOS, Netflix streaming, Amazon cloud services, Twitter and Tumblr.
With such a long release cycle, what will happen during the next generation of consoles?
How much better will other gaming devices (smartphones, tablets and set-top boxes) be in seven years? What other technical capabilities like cloud services and streaming will be available? What business models will emerge? What other interfaces will become dominant?
For Sony and Microsoft, is seven years too long to find out?